Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.181130 0.209053 0.241449 0.282203 0.332657 0.393818 0.474737
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.149297 0.187387 0.237043 0.308341 0.411305 0.560146 0.803027
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.125145 0.166972 0.226479 0.321379 0.477543 0.742813 1.278175
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.106602 0.148847 0.213080 0.324436 0.528927 0.930639 1.932158
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.091869 0.132767 0.198217 0.319504 0.563605 1.109254 2.782170
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.083283 0.124309 0.193248 0.329648 0.631188 1.407007 4.460877
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.074010 0.113045 0.180992 0.322134 0.657577 1.625590 6.408931
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.068072 0.106419 0.175610 0.326812 0.715327 1.993033 10.440162
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.062215 0.099059 0.167465 0.323243 0.750613 2.328828 16.335684
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.058378 0.094784 0.164493 0.330601 0.821466 2.904874 30.868281
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.055490 0.091854 0.163664 0.342888 0.915793 3.761111 71.908846
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.052240 0.087825 0.159867 0.346663 0.985046 4.642677 179.028508
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049576 0.084706 0.157713 0.354910 1.080530 6.005052 773.975526
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.047091 0.081669 0.155308 0.362079 1.180101 7.821897 11745.066675
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044714 0.078595 0.152358 0.367007 1.276679 10.158777 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.042255 0.075094 0.147906 0.366226 1.348044 12.734736 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.039690 0.071128 0.141813 0.358717 1.381128 15.103451 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038309 0.069550 0.141337 0.369849 1.532594 21.758259 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.036104 0.065988 0.135439 0.360820 1.556053 25.788572 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.034729 0.064130 0.133655 0.366150 1.682986 36.530944 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.033069 0.061500 0.129548 0.361954 1.742259 46.914720 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.032041 0.060202 0.128804 0.370495 1.912783 74.377071 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.031281 0.059449 0.129426 0.384802 2.157609 140.236775 NaN